Weather Outlook – July 15, 2021

Contributed by NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University

Last week temperatures ranged from 4 degrees below normal to 4 degrees above normal. Precipitation has ranged from half an inch to over 4 inches. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 80 to 160.

Today will be mostly rain-free and mostly sunny with temperatures in the mid to upper 80s. Late evening thunderstorms are possible in western and north central NY, some could be severe. Overnight lows will be in the mid 60s to low 70s.

Friday temperatures will range from mid 70s in western and northern NY to near 90 in southeast NY. A cold front will bring scattered showers and thunderstorms to southern and eastern areas; locally heavy rainfall is possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60s with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Saturday temperatures will be in the upper 70s to mid 80s with a front bringing showers possible throughout the day but with increasing likelihood in the afternoon. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60s.

Sunday temperatures will be in the upper 70s to low 80s with a chance for showers and thunderstorms. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60s.

Monday temperatures will in the upper 70s to mid 80s with a chance for showers and thunderstorms. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60s.

Tuesday highs will be in the 80s with afternoon showers and thunderstorms possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60s.

Wednesday highs will be in the upper 70s to mid 80s, with scattered showers and thunderstorms again possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60s.

The seven-day precipitation amounts will range from three quarters of an inch to over 2.5 inches.

The 8-14 day outlook (July 22-28) favors near to slightly above-normal temperatures and near to slightly below-normal precipitation for the state.

Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.weather.gov/erh/

US Drought Monitor:
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/

CLIMOD2 (NRCC data interface):
http://climod2.nrcc.cornell.edu

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