Jessica Rennells, NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University
Last week temperatures ranged from normal to 9 degrees above normal. Precipitation ranged from a trace to 2 inches, with the lowest amounts in western NY and the highest amounts near the capital region. The base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 25 to 125, with the highest degree-days in western NY.
Flash Flood Watch for portions of New York today.
http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=erh&wwa=flash%20flood%20watch
Today will be cooler than the past few days, but still ranging in the 70’s and humid. It will be an overcast day with a frontal passage bringing showers. Overnight temperatures will range from upper 40’s in eastern NY to near 60 in southeast NY.
Friday will be significantly cooler and less humid with highs in the mid 50’s to mid 60’s. Showers will be present again, but skies will clear throughout the day from west to east. Overnight temperatures will drop into the upper 30’s to mid 40’s.
Saturday will be mostly sunny with temperatures still cool in the upper 50’s to mid 60’s. Some showers will still linger along the Champlain Valley, but the rest of the state should be dry. Lows will be in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s.
Sunday will be mostly sunny with highs throughout the 60’s. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 30’s to low 40’s.
Memorial Day will be sunny and more seasonable with highs in the upper 60’s and low 70’s. Lows will be in the mid to upper 40’s.
Tuesday will be partly sunny with highs in the low to mid 70’s. Lows will be throughout the 40’s.
Wednesday will heat up again into the upper 70’s and low 80’s. Lows will be in the low to mid 50’s.
The five-day precipitation amounts will range from a ¼” to 2.5”, occurring mostly over the next couple of days.
The 8-14 day out look (May 30 – June 5) is showing high probability for above normal temperatures and above normal precipitation for western NY and normal precipitation for the rest of the state. Abnormally dry area expanded, includes areas of St Lawrence Valley, Champlain Valley, Northern Plateau, Mohawk Valley, Eastern Plateau, and Hudson Valley.
Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php
National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/hq/
NRCC Drought Page which features the US Drought Monitor map (updated every Thursday):
http://www.nrcc.cornell.edu/page_drought.html
