New York State Weekly Weather Outlook – July 12, 2012

Jessica Rennells, NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University

Last week temperatures ranged from 0 to 6 degrees above normal for most of the state. Some areas in the North Country were 0 – 3 degrees below normal.  Rainfall amounts ranged from a trace to half an inch.  The Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 125-175 for most of the state.  The Adirondack region and North Country ranged from 75 to 125.

Hot and humid with some thunderstorms is the big picture for the next week.

Today temperatures will be in the upper 80’s to around 90 with mostly sunny skies and increased humidity. Lows will be in the mid 50’s to low 60’s.

Friday will be in the mid 80’s to low 90’s with a slight chance for showers.  Lows will be in the upper 50’s to mid 60’s.

Saturday temperatures will be in the mid to upper 80’s with an increased chance for showers and thunderstorms.  Lows will be in the mid to upper 60’s.

Sunday will again have highs in the mid to upper 80’s with the continued chance for showers and thunderstorms.  Lows will be in the mid to upper 60’s.

Monday highs will be in the mid to upper 80’s with afternoon showers and thunderstorms possible.  Lows will be in the mid to upper 60’s.

Tuesday highs will range from the mid 80’s to around 90 with afternoon showers and thunderstorms possible. Lows will be in the mid to upper 60’s.

Wednesday temperatures will again range from the mid 80’s to around 90 with afternoon showers and thunderstorms possible. Lows will be in the mid to upper 60’s.

The five-day precipitation amounts will range from a tenth to an inch. The 8-14 day out look is showing normal temperatures and above normal precipitation.  The updated Drought Monitor map has increased the portion of the state in abnormally dry
conditions.  Niagara, Erie, western Orleans, and western Genesee counties are now in the Moderate Drought category.

Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

National Weather Service watch/warnings map:

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/hq/

NRCC Drought Page which features the US Drought Monitor map
(updated every Thursday):

http://www.nrcc.cornell.edu/page_drought.html

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