Contributed by NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University
Last week temperatures ranged from 4 degrees below normal to 2 degrees above normal. Precipitation has ranged from half an inch to over 4 inches. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 80 to 160.
Today temperatures will be in the 70s with showers and thunderstorms developing late morning into the afternoon. As a storm system interacts with the moisture from Tropical Storm Elsa, very heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding are possible. TS Elsa could track over southeast NY early Friday morning. Overnight lows will be in the 60s.
Friday temperatures will be in the mid 70s to low 80s with humid conditions. Heavy rainfall is expected across the Hudson Valley in the morning as Elsa passes. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected late morning into the afternoon; western areas are expected to rain-free for most of the day. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 50s to low 60s and high pressure will bring dry conditions.
Saturday temperatures will be in the mid 70s to low 80s; our only dry day of the week though some isolated showers cannot be ruled out. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 50s to low 60s.
Sunday temperatures will be in the mid 70s to low 80s with showers and thunderstorms possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 50s to mid 60s
Monday temperatures will in the mid 70s to mid 80s with increasing humidity and scattered showers and thunderstorms. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60s.
Tuesday highs will be in the 80s with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60s.
Wednesday is expected to be with highs in the 80s with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60s.
The seven-day precipitation amounts will range from three quarters of an inch to over four inches.
The 8-14 day outlook (July 15-24) favors above-normal temperatures and above-normal precipitation for the state.
Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php
National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.weather.gov/erh/
US Drought Monitor
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/
CLIMOD2 (NRCC data interface):
http://climod2.nrcc.cornell.edu
