NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University
Last week temperatures were near normal to 4 degrees above-normal. Precipitation has ranged from less than ½ “ to over 4”, isolated areas saw over 8” with flooding. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 110-170. Moderate drought continues in part of western and northern NY.
Showers and thunderstorms Thursday and Friday, drying out for the weekend into next week until unsettled weather returns on Tuesday.
Today temperatures will be in the upper 70s and 80s with showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon in western areas and moving east throughout the evening. There is a potential for heavy downpours and localized flooding. Overnight lows will be in the upper 50s to near 70 with a cold front bringing a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Friday will be humid with temperatures in the 70 to mid 80s with scattered showers and thunderstorms continuing. Some sever weather is possible, including heavy rain, flash flooding, and gusty winds. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 50s to mid 60s.
Saturday temperatures will be in the mid 70s and 80s, with lingering morning showers, especially in eastern NY. Some isolated afternoon showers are possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the low 50s to mid 60s and less humid.
Sunday highs will be in the mid 70s and 80s with mostly dry conditions, an isolated afternoon shower is possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 50s to mid 60s.
Monday temperatures will be in the mid 70s to mid 80s with dry conditions. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 50s to mid 60s.
Tuesday highs will be in the mid 70s to low 80s. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60s. A cold front will bring scattered showers and thunderstorms Tuesday into Wednesday.
Wednesday highs will be in the 80s with continuing showers. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60s.
The seven-day precipitation amounts will range from one inch up to two and a half inches. Locally heavy rainfall next week will increase these amounts for some areas.
The 8-14 day outlook (Aug 23-29) favors above-normal temperatures for all of the state and slightly favors above-normal precipitation for most of the state, excluding part of southeast NY.
Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php
National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.weather.gov/erh/
US Drought Monitor
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home.aspx
Drought Impact Reporter:
http://droughtreporter.unl.edu/map
CLIMOD2 (NRCC data interface):
http://climodtest.nrcc.cornell.edu
