NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University
Last week temperatures were near-normal to 4 degrees above-normal. Precipitation has ranged from less than ¼” to over 4”. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 90-170. Moderate drought and abnormally dry conditions expanded in northern NY.
Dryer, less humid conditions before unsettled weather returns.
Today will be mostly dry after a long stretch of wet weather exits the state; temperatures will be in the mid 70s to mid 80s with lower humidity. Western NY will have afternoon showers and thunderstorms ahead of a cold front, with the possibility for severe weather (damaging winds and locally heavy rain). Overnight lows will be in the low to mid 60s.
Friday highs will be in the 70s and 80s with scattered showers and thunderstorms due to a frontal passage; there is a slight chance for severe weather (damaging wind, small hail). Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 50s to low 60s.
Saturday temperatures will be in the 70s to mid 80s with scattered afternoon showers. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 50s to low 60s.
Sunday highs will be in the mid 70s to mid 80s with mostly dry conditions. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 50s to low 60s.
Monday temperatures will be in the 70s to low 80s with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60s.
Tuesday highs will be in the 70s to low 80s with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60s.
Wednesday possible scattered showers and thunderstorms with highs in the low 80s. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60s.
The seven-day precipitation amounts will range from half an inch to over two and a half inches.
The 8-14 day outlook (Aug 2-8) favors above-normal temperatures and above-normal precipitation for all of the state.
Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php
National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.weather.gov/erh/
US Drought Monitor
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home.aspx
Drought Impact Reporter:
http://droughtreporter.unl.edu/map
CLIMOD2 (NRCC data interface):
http://climodtest.nrcc.cornell.edu
