From Jessica Spaccio, NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University
Last week temperatures ranged from near normal to 6 degrees above normal. Precipitation ranged from less than a quarter inch to over 2. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 100 to 180.
Rain! Showers and thunderstorms through early next week… flash flooding possible!
Today will be warm and muggy with temperatures in the mid 80’s to low 90’s. There will be scattered showers and thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall. Overnight lows will be in the mid 60’s to low 70’s with scattered showers.
Friday highs will be in the mid 80’s to low 90’s and humid with scattered showers and thunderstorms; localized heavy rain and flash flooding potential. Lows will be in the mid 60’s to low 70’s.
Saturday there will be more widespread showers and thunderstorms with the potential for localized heavy rain and flash flooding. Temperatures will be in the upper 70’s and 80’s, humid conditions continue. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 60’s to low 70’s.
Sunday showers and thunderstorms continue with highs in the mid 70’s to mid 80’s. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60’s.
Monday highs will be in the mid 70’s to mid 80’s. Lows will be in the 60’s.
Tuesday things dry out and temperatures will be in the mid 70’s to mid 80’s. Lows will be in the 60’s.
Wednesday temperatures will be in the 80’s. Lows will be in the upper 50’s to mid 60’s.
The five-day precipitation amounts will range from 1 ¼” to 3” .
The 8-14 day outlook (August 18-24) shows increased chances for above normal temperatures for all of the state. There is an increased chance for above normal precipitation for southwest NY.
The Drought Monitor: Areas of abnormally dry conditions, moderate & severe drought expand.
Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php
National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.weather.gov/erh/
US Drought Monitor:
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home.aspx
CLIMOD2 (NRCC data interface):
http://climodtest.nrcc.cornell.edu
