Jessica Spaccio, NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University
April temperatures were below normal for most of the state, but closer to normal than the winter had been. April precipitation was split, with areas around the Great Lakes being above normal and central areas being below normal. Base 50 growing degree-days accumulated since March 15 are below 50 for most of the state, with some areas in the 50-80 range.
Slightly above normal temperatures with some showers.
Today will be mostly cloudy with a chance of showers or an isolated thunderstorm. Temperatures will be in the mid 60’s to low 70’s. Overnight temperatures will be above normal in the mid 50’s for most of the state, mid 40’s for the Northern counties.
A warm front overnight Thursday will bring cloudy skies and a chance of showers for Friday, but temperatures will be in the upper 60’s to possible low 80’s! Lows will be in the mid 50’s to low 60’s.
Saturday temperatures will be in the upper 60’s to mid 70’s but with showers likely. Overnight temperatures will be in the low to mid 50’s.
Sunday will be partly sunny with highs in the upper 60’s to mid 70’s. Lows will be in the low to mid 50’s.
Monday highs will be in the low 70’s to low 80’s with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows will be in the low to mid 50’s.
Tuesday highs will be in the upper 60’s to mid 70’s with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows will be throughout the 50’s.
Wednesday will be slightly cooler with temperatures in the mid 60’s to low 70’s with showers likely. Lows will be throughout the 50’s.
The five-day precipitation amounts will range from ¾ of an inch to 1 ½ of an inch.
The 8-14 day outlook (May15-21) is showing below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation. The May/June/July outlook has the Hudson Valley and Catskills in above normal temperatures, but no indication for the rest of the state and not indication for precipitation for any area. As the 3-month outlooks progress, the area of above normal temperatures expands into NY and by the August/September/October outlook the entire state is showing above normal. There is no indication for precipitation in any of the outlooks.
Maps of 8-14 day outlooks: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php
National Weather Service watch/warnings map: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/hq/
NRCC Drought Page which features the US Drought Monitor map (updated every Thursday): http://www.nrcc.cornell.edu/page_drought.html
