Jessica Rennells, NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University
Last week temperatures ranged from normal to 6 degrees below normal. Precipitation ranged from 1 to over 4 inches, with the highest amounts in the Catskills/Lower Hudson Valley and Adirondack regions. The base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 50-75 for most of the state, 25-50 in parts of the Adirondacks.
Heavy rain Thurs – Thurs night.
Today will be cool and rainy as a surface low moves through. Temperatures will be below normal, in the 60’s. Rainfall will be heavy in central and southern NY. Flood watches have been issued by the National Weather Service. Overnight temperatures will be in the low to mid 50’s with continued showers.
Friday will be partly sunny with rain remaining early and gradually clearing from West to East. Afternoon thunderstorms are possible. Temperatures will be in the upper 60’s to mid 70’s. Friday night will be in the mid 40’s to low 50’s.
Saturday will be mostly sunny and dry with highs in the low to mid 70’s. Lows will be in the low to mid 50’s.
Sunday will be partly cloudy with highs throughout the 70’s and showers and thunderstorms possible as another system moves into the area. Lows will be in the low to mid 60’s.
Monday’s temperatures will be in the mid to upper 70’s with showers and thunderstorms possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 50’s to low 60’s.
Tuesday will be in the mid to upper 70’s with rain possible. Lows will be in the upper 50’s and low 60’s.
Wednesday high pressure will return and bring sunny skies and temperatures throughout the 70’s. Lows will be in the mid to upper 50’s.
The five-day precipitation amounts will range from 1/4” to 3”. The highest amounts are expected in the Catskills and Hudson Valley regions.
The 8-14 day out look (June 19 – June 25) is showing normal temperatures and above normal precipitation.
Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php
National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/hq/
NRCC Drought Page which features the US Drought Monitor map (updated every Thursday):
http://www.nrcc.cornell.edu/page_drought.html