Contributed by NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University
Last week temperatures ranged from 10 to 16 degrees below normal. Precipitation has ranged from a quarter of an inch to one inch. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 0-7.
Today will start partly sunny with increasing clouds as a front brings rain showers; temperatures will be in the upper 50s to upper 60s. Overnight lows will be in the upper 40s and 50s with scattered rain, even a slight chance of a thunderstorm.
Friday temperatures will be in the upper 60s and 70s with rain and increased possibility for thunderstorms; some areas will have the potential for severe storms with gusty winds and small hail. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 40s to mid 50s.
Saturday will be sunny and dry with temperatures in the mid 60s to mid 70s. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 40s to mid 50s.
Sunday highs will be in the 60s with a chance for showers increasing throughout the day; some thunderstorms possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 40s to mid 50s.
Heavy rain and flooding are possible late Sunday into Tuesday if tropical moisture gets pulled into the Northeast.
Monday temperatures will be in the upper 50s and 60s with showers possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the 40s to low 50s.
Tuesday highs will be in the upper 50s and 60s with showers possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the 40s.
Wednesday highs will be in the 60s with showers possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the 40s.
The seven-day precipitation amounts will range from one and a quarter inches to near four inches.
The 8-14 day outlook (May 21-27) favors above-normal temperatures and slightly favors below-normal precipitation.
Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php
National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.weather.gov/erh/
US Drought Monitor:
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home.aspx
CLIMOD2 (NRCC data interface):
http://climodtest.nrcc.cornell.edu
