NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University
Last week temperatures ranged from near normal to 8 degrees above normal. Precipitation has ranged from one inch. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 0-10.
Today will begin with widespread showers ahead of a cold front. Temperatures will be in the mid 40s to mid 50s with gusty conditions developing in the afternoon; gusts of 40-45 mph are possible. Overnight lows will be in the low to mid 30s. Wet snow, and accumulating snow for some higher elevation areas, is possible overnight into Friday.
Friday temperatures will be in the mid 30s to upper 40s with snow continuing for some areas and gusty conditions continuing throughout the area. Overnight temperatures will be in the 20s to lower 30s.
Saturday temperatures will range from the upper 30s to lower 50s with clearing conditions. Overnight temperatures will be in the 20s to lower 30s.
Sunday highs will be in the 50s with a mostly dry morning but light showers possible in the afternoon. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 30s to mid 40s with precipitation moving into the area again. Significant rainfall is possible Sunday night into Monday.
Monday temperatures will be in the 50s, could reach into the 60s in southeast NY, with rain continuing. Overnight temperatures will be in the 30s.
Tuesday highs will be in the mid 40s to mid 50s with mixed rain and wet snow possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the 30s to low 40s.
Wednesday highs will be in the mid 40s to mid 50s. Overnight temperatures will be in the 30s.
The seven-day precipitation amounts will range from three quarters of an inch to near 3 inches.
The 8-14 day outlook (April 16-22) favors below-normal temperatures for the entire state with high probability (70-80%). Above-normal precipitation is slightly favored.
Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php
National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.weather.gov/erh/
US Drought Monitor
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home.aspx
CLIMOD2 (NRCC data interface):
http://climodtest.nrcc.cornell.edu
