NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University
Last week temperatures were near-normal to 6 degrees above-normal. Precipitation has ranged from a trace to 4”. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 100-180. Moderate drought expanded in western NY, where the rain has missed; abnormally dry conditions expanded farther north.
Dry sunny weather to end the week, unsettled weather starting over the weekend.
Today will be dry and sunny with temperatures in the mid 70s to low 80s. Overnight lows will be in the upper 40s to low 60s.
Friday highs will be in the mid 70s to low 90s with sunny and slightly humid conditions. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60s with light scattered showers possible in western NY.
Saturday temperatures will be in the upper 70s to 80s with light scattered showers possible in western NY. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60s with scattered showers and thunderstorms beginning in some areas.
Sunday highs will be in the 70s to low 80s with widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms. The potential exists for flooding for some areas. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60s.
Monday temperatures will be in the mid 70s to 80s with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60s.
Tuesday highs will be in the mid 70s to 80s with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60s.
Wednesday possible scattered thunderstorms with in the 80s. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60s.
The seven-day precipitation amounts will range from one and a quarter inches in western areas up to 5 inches in southeast NY.
The 8-14 day outlook (July 26 – Aug 1) favors near-normal temperatures for most of the state, slightly favoring below-normal temperatures for extreme western NY and slightly favoring above-normal temperatures in part of eastern NY. The precipitation outlook favors above-normal precipitation for all of the state.
Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php
National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.weather.gov/erh/
US Drought Monitor
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home.aspx
Drought Impact Reporter:
http://droughtreporter.unl.edu/map
CLIMOD2 (NRCC data interface):
http://climodtest.nrcc.cornell.edu
