From Jessica Spaccio, NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University
Last week temperatures ranged from 2 to 8 degrees above normal. Precipitation ranged from zero or a trace in many areas to over a ¼ inch in isolated areas. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 40 to 80.
A strong cold front will bring needed rain Friday into Saturday, followed by cool and unsettled weather.
High pressure will bring fair weather – dry with partly sunny skies and temperatures in the upper 60’s to upper 70’s. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 40’s to upper 50’s.
Friday highs will range from mid 60’s to upper 70’s. A strong cold front will move into western NY mid-afternoon and move eastward bringing widespread showers to the rest of the state overnight into Saturday. Low temperatures will be in the upper 40’s to mid 50’s.
Saturday will partly cloudy with rain continuing as the front moves out. Temperature will be cooler behind the front, in the mid 50’s to mid 60’s. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 30’s to mid 40’s.
Sunday will be partly sunny with temperatures in the mid 50’s to low 60’s with lake effect rain showers east of Lakes Erie & Ontario. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s.
Monday will be partly cloudy with highs in the low to mid 60’s. Overnight temperatures will be throughout the 40’s.
Tuesday will be partly cloudy with highs in the low to mid 60’s with scattered showers possible. Lows will be in the upper 40’s to low 50’s.
Wednesday’s highs will be in the upper 50’s to mid 60’s with scattered showers possible. Lows will be in the upper 40’s to low 50’s.
The five-day precipitation amounts will range from ½” to 1 ½”.
The 8-14 day outlook (Oct 9-15) is showing above normal temperatures for the eastern half of the state and above normal precipitation for all of the state.
The abnormally dry area covering the Catskills and southern Hudson Valley has persisted and expanded north.
Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php
National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/hq/
NRCC Drought Page which features the US Drought Monitor map (updated every Thursday):
http://www.nrcc.cornell.edu/page_drought.html
