From Jessica Spaccio, NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University
Last week temperatures ranged from normal to 6 degrees above normal. Precipitation ranged from a trace to over 1 inch. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 70 to 150.
Above normal temperatures for the rest of the work week then a cold front will bring showers and thunderstorms Saturday and cooler temperatures for the rest of the forecast period.
Today high pressure will continue sunny skies and temperatures throughout the 80’s. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60’s.
Friday will again be sunny with highs well above normal in the mid 80’s to low 90’s. Low temperatures will be throughout the 60’s with showers and thunderstorms possible as a front moves into the state.
Saturday will be mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms as a cold front moves through, highs will be in the low to mid 70’s. Overnight temperatures will be in the low to mid 50’s.
Sunday will be noticeably cooler with highs in the upper 60’s to low 70’s but sunny and dry. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 40’s to mid 50’s.
Monday will be mostly sunny with highs in the low to mid 70’s. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 40’s to low 50’s.
Tuesday will be mostly sunny with highs in the low to mid 70’s. Lows will be in the upper 40’s to low 50’s.
Wednesday’s highs will be in the low to mid 70’s; there’s a possibility for showers and thunderstorms. Lows will be in the 50’s.
The five-day precipitation amounts will range from ¼” to 1” ; 7-day amounts will also range from ½ ” to 1 ½ ”.
The 8-14 day outlook (Sept 11-17) is showing below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation.
There is an abnormally dry area covering parts of Sullivan, Ulster, Dutchess, Orange, Putnam, Rockland, and Westchester counties.
Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php
National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/hq/
NRCC Drought Page which features the US Drought Monitor map (updated every Thursday):
http://www.nrcc.cornell.edu/page_drought.html
