From Jessica Spaccio, NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University
Last week temperatures ranged from normal to 6 degrees below normal. Most areas received a trace to an inch of precipitation; part of eastern NY had over an inch. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 60 to 140.
A couple dry and sunny days before unsettled weather arrives with the passage of a warm front on Saturday and lasts into early next week.
Today will be mostly sunny and considerably less humid with temperatures throughout the 70’s. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 40’s to mid 50’s.
Friday will be sunny with highs in the mid 70’s to low 80’s. Low temperatures will be throughout the 50’s.
Saturday will be partly sunny with highs in the upper 70’s to low 80’s with showers and thunderstorms beginning in western NY during the afternoon ahead of a warm front. The front and associated showers and thunderstorms will track east throughout the evening. Overnight temperatures will be in the low 60’s.
Sunday will be partly sunny with highs in the upper 70’s to low 80’s and showers and thunderstorms likely. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 50’s and low 60’s.
Monday we’ll have a continues chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms with highs in the mid 70’s and low 80’s. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 50’s to low 60’s.
Tuesday will be partly sunny and a morning passage of a front will bring cooler air with highs in the upper 60’s to mid 70’s. There will still be a possibility of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows will be in the 60’s.
Wednesday’s highs will be in the 70’s. Lows will be in the 50’s.
The five-day precipitation amounts will range from ¾” to 1”; 7-day amounts will range from 1” to 1 ½”.
The 8-14 day outlook (July 31 – Aug 6) is showing below normal temperatures for central to western NY and above normal precipitation for all but the northernmost counties.
Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php
National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/hq/
NRCC Drought Page which features the US Drought Monitor map (updated every Thursday):
http://www.nrcc.cornell.edu/page_drought.html
