From Jessica Spaccio, NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University
Last week temperatures ranged from normal to 4 degrees above normal. Most areas received one to three inches of precipitation; a few areas had half an inch to one inch while isolated areas had over three inches. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 100 to 180.
Heavy rain and severe storms possible today, then clearing for a nice holiday weekend. Work-week brings next chance for showers.
Today will be cloudy with showers and thunderstorms associated with a cold front moving across the state; some storms could be severe; also potential for heavy rainfall as the front stalls and added moisture from Tropical Storm Arthur. Highs will be in the mid 70’s to mid 80’s, with warmer temperatures in the southeast portion of the state. Lows will be in the upper 50’s to mid 60’s.
Friday a few remaining showers will exit the state and leave sunny skies with less humid conditions. Highs will be in the mid to upper 70’s. Overnight lows will be in the upper 40’s to upper 50’s.
Saturday will be sunny with highs in the mid 70’s to low 80’s. Overnight lows will be throughout the 50’s.
Sunday will be another dry, sunny day with highs in the upper 70’s to mid 80’s. Lows will be in the upper 50’s to mid 60’s.
Monday will be partly sunny with a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms and highs in the mid to upper 80’s. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid to upper 60’s.
Tuesday will be partly cloudy with a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms and highs in the low to mid 80’s. Lows will be in the mid to upper 60’s.
Wednesday’s highs will be in the upper 70’s to mid 80’s with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible. Lows will be in the low ti mid 60’s.
The five-day precipitation amounts will range from 1/10 to 1 1/2”; 7-day amounts will range from ½ to 2” with higher amounts for both periods being in southeast NY.
The 8-14 day outlook (July 10-16) is showing above normal temperatures and above normal precipitation.