Jessica Rennells
NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University
Last week temperatures ranged from 3 to 6 degrees above normal for most of the state. Rainfall amounts ranged from a trace to an inch for most of the state, areas in the Adirondack region had over an inch. The Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 100 to 150, lower in the part of the Adirondack region.
Today temperatures will be warm in the mid to upper 80’s with scattered showers and thunderstorms likely ahead of a cold front, some may be severe (strong winds, hail). Lows will be in the mid 50’s to lower 60’s.
Friday temperatures will be cooler, ranging from the upper 70’s to the upper 80’s, scattered showers and thunderstorms will move out over eastern NY. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 50’s to low 60’s.
Heavy rain Saturday & Sunday.
Saturday will be in the mid to upper 70’s with scatted showers and thunderstorms from a stronger storm system and cold front, possibility for some to be severe. Lows will be in the 50’s and low 60’s, some 40’s are possible.
Sunday will again have scattered showers and thunderstorms, highs will be in the 70’s. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid to upper 50’s.
Monday will be in the low to mid 70’s with some scattered showers. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 40’s to mid 50’s.
Tuesday’s temperatures will be in the low to mid 70’s. Lows will be in the upper 40’s to mid 50’s.
Wednesday temperatures will in the low to mid 70’s. Lows will be in the upper 40’s to mid 50’s.
The five-day precipitation amounts will range from ½ inch to 2 inches, the higher amounts are expected in western NY. The 8-14 day (Sept 13-19) out look is showing above normal temperatures and normal precipitation for most of the state, below normal precip for the southern edge of the state and the Catskills, southern Hudson Valley.
Maps of 8-14 day outlooks
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php
National Weather Service watch/warnings map
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/hq/
NRCC Drought Page which features the US Drought Monitor map (updated every Thursday):
http://www.nrcc.cornell.edu/page_drought.html
