Jessica Rennells, NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University
Last week temperatures ranged from 0 to 6 degrees above normal for most of the state. Rainfall amounts ranged from a trace to two inches, the highest amounts were in the Eastern Plateau. The Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 100 to 150, lower in the Adirondack region.
High pressure will bring sunshine and dry weather through the weekend; warm front and Isaac could bring rainfall the beginning of next week.
Today will sunny with temperatures ranging throughout the 80’s. Tonight’s temperatures will range from the low 50’s to the low 60’s.
Friday will be mostly sunny and hot with highs in the mid 80’s to low 90’s. Some scattered showers are possible as a weak cold front moves through. Lows will be in the mid 50’s to low 60’s.
Saturday will be mostly sunny with highs in the upper 70’s to mid 80’s. Lows will be in the mid 50’s to low 60’s.
Sunday will be mostly sunny with temperatures in the mid 70’s to low 80’s. Lows will be in the mid 50’s to low 60’s. Scattered shows will be possible overnight into Monday as a warm front moves in. Moisture from Isaac could combine with this front and move in our direction.
Monday will be in the upper 70’s to low 80’s with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Overnight temperatures will be in the low to mid 60’s.
Tuesday’s temperatures will be in the mid 70’s to low 80’s with scattered showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows will be in the upper 50’s to low 60’s.
Wednesday temperatures will in the mid 70’s to low 80’s with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows will be in the low to mid 60’s.
The five-day precipitation amounts will range from a tenth of an inch up to 1 ¼ inches; the higher rainfall amounts are expected in western NY, closer to the track of Isaac. The 8-14 day (Sept 6-12) out look is showing above normal temperatures for the northeast half of the state and normal precipitation.
National Hurricane Center/ Isaac
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/115735.shtml?5-daynl#contents
Maps of 8-14 day outlooks
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php
National Weather Service watch/warnings map
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/hq/
NRCC Drought Page which features the US Drought Monitor map (updated every Thursday)
http://www.nrcc.cornell.edu/page_drought.html
