Jessica Rennells
NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University
Last week temperatures ranged from 0 to 6 degrees below normal for most of the state; quite a difference from what we’ve seen this summer. Rainfall amounts ranged from a trace to one inch. The Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 75 to 125, lower in the Adirondack region.
High pressure, warming temps, overall a dry week.
Today will be mostly sunny with highs in the 80’s. Tonight’s temperatures will be in the 50’s.
Friday will be mostly sunny with highs in the mid to upper 80’s; some low 90’s are possible. Lows will be in the mid 50’s to low 60’s.
Saturday will be mostly sunny with highs throughout the 80’s. Some scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible in the southern areas and Catskills as a weak low passes, though most areas will remain dry. Lows will be in the mid 50’s to low 60’s.
Sunday will again be mostly sunny with temperatures throughout the 80’s. Lows will be in the low to mid 60’s.
Monday will be in the low to mid 80’s with scattered showers possible, most likely later in the day when a frontal system is expected to move in. Overnight temperatures will be in the low to mid 60’s.
Tuesday’s temperatures will be in the upper 70’s to mid 80’s with scattered showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows will be in the mid 50’s to low 60’s.
Wednesday temperatures will be cooler, in the low to mid 70’s with showers still possible depending on the timing of the front. Lows will be in the mid to upper 50’s.
The five-day precipitation amounts will range from a tenth to a quarter of an inch. The 8-14 day (Aug 30 – Sept 5) out look is showing above normal temperatures and above normal precipitation. The September outlook is showing above normal temperatures but uncertain precipitation. Tropical Storm Isaac is forecast to reach Florida early Tuesday, our area should not have any impacts at least through Wednesday.
National Hurricane Center/ Isaac
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/115735.shtml?5-daynl#contents
Maps of 8-14 day outlooks
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php
National Weather Service watch/warnings map
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/hq/
NRCC Drought Page which features the US Drought Monitor map (updated every Thursday)
http://www.nrcc.cornell.edu/page_drought.html
