Jessica Rennells, NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University
Last week temperatures ranged from 0 to 3 degrees above normal for most of the state. Rainfall amounts ranged widely from a trace to over 2 inches. A majority of the state had 1-2 inches, part of Niagara county and the Northern portion of the state had less than an inch, highest amounts were in western NY and the lower Hudson Valley. The Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 100 in the northern areas to 175.
Warm temps continue. Chance for showers & thunderstorms Fri – Mon. Possible severe weather on Sunday – watch your local National Weather Service office for watches and warnings.
Today temperatures will rise into the mid 80’s to near 90’s with dry conditions as high-pressure builds in. Lows will range from the upper 50’s to upper 60’s.
Friday temperatures will be in the mid 80’s to low 90’s with showers and thunderstorms possible from a passing warm front. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid to upper 60’s.
Saturday highs will continue to be warm in the mid 80’s to low 90’s, again with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Overnight lows will be quite warm in the mid 60’s to low 70’s.
Sunday’s temperatures will be closer to normal, ranging throughout the 80’s, with an increases chance for showers and thunderstorms. Some storms could produce severe weather. Lows will be throughout the 60’s.
Monday will be in the low to mid 80’s, with some scattered showers and thunderstorms possible. Lows will be in the upper 50’s to low 60’s.
Tuesday will be mostly sunny with highs in the low to mid 80’s. Lows will be in the upper 50’s and low 60’s.
Wednesday temperatures will be in the low to mid 80’s. Lows will be in the low to mid 60’s.
The five-day precipitation amounts will range from ½ of an inch to 1 ¼ inches. The 8-14 day out look is showing normal temperatures and normal precipitation. Abnormally dry and moderate drought conditions remain very similar to last week. Portions of the Champlain Valley and northern Hudson Valley are no longer abnormally dry.
Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php
National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/hq/
NRCC Drought Page which features the US Drought Monitor map (updated every Thursday):
http://www.nrcc.cornell.edu/page_drought.html
