Jessica Rennells, NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University
Last week temperatures ranged from 0 to 3 degrees above normal for most of the state, some areas ranged 0-3 below normal. Rainfall amounts ranged widely from a trace up to 2 inches. The Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 100 in the northern areas to 175.
Severe weather & rain!
Warm and humid conditions have returned. Temperatures will range from the 70’s in the northern portions of the state to near 90. An early passing warm front is bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms across the state. This will be followed by cold front later today, bringing more showers and thunderstorms, and the possibility for severe weather. The highest threat for severe weather is along the southern portion of the state Overnight temperatures will be in the 60’s to low 70’s with scattered showers.
Friday the severe weather should have moved out, but there is still a chance for locally heavy rainfall. Unsettled weather and scattered showers will persist. Highs will be throughout the 80’s, lows will be in the 60’s.
Saturday will be mostly cloudy with highs in the upper 70’s and low 80’s. Another disturbance will bring the chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms. Overnight temperatures will be in the low to mid 60’s.
Sunday will be mostly sunny with temperatures in the low to mid 80’s; a slight chance for a shower. Lows will be in the upper 50’s to mid 60’s.
Monday will be sunny with highs in the 80’s. Lows will be in the low to mid 60’s.
Tuesday will be in the 80’s with mostly sunny skies, but a chance for showers. Overnight temperatures will be in the 60’s.
Wednesday temperatures will be in the 80’s with possible scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows will be in the mid to upper 60’s.
The five-day precipitation amounts will range from ¼ of an inch, in the northern most areas of the state, up to inches. The 8-14 day out look is showing above normal temperatures and normal precipitation. Abnormally dry and moderate drought conditions remain the same, though the upcoming rain should provide some relief.
Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php
National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/hq/
NRCC Drought Page which features the US Drought Monitor map (updated every Thursday):
http://www.nrcc.cornell.edu/page_drought.html
