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Predicting Movie Success

Have you ever noticed how some big-budget movies are widely advertised and seem like they will be a guaranteed success, but surprisingly flop at the box office? Or how some smaller-budget movies that you’ve never heard of somehow become famous? The movie industry is a very uncertain industry – it’s very hard to predict the […]

Bayes’ Theorem, Network Effects, and reddit

Link to Schnieder’s Post This post assumes the reader is familiar with reddit. For those who aren’t, it is explained here and FAQ here. Todd Schneider’s post begins with a simple question: What are the chances of a reddit post reaching the front page, given that it is on the second, third, or fourth page? […]

Fantasy Basketball Draft: Following the Crowd

Source: http://espn.go.com/nba/story/_/id/11800979/russell-westbrook-oklahoma-city-thunder-undergoes-surgery-injured-hand-least-4-weeks I do not know anything about the NBA. However, when my friend asked for me to fill in the last spot for in his league so that they could play, I thought there was nothing I could lost. When determining how to go about picking my team, I found an effective strategy was […]

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