Weather Outlook – May 28, 2020

Contributed by NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University

Last week temperatures ranged from 2 degrees below normal to more than 10 degrees above normal. Precipitation has ranged from a trace to two inches. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 60 to over 120.

GDD Base 48 March 1 - May 27 GDD Base 48 May 1 - May 27 GDD Base 50 March 1 - May 27 GDD Base 50 May 1 - May 27

Thursday temperatures will be in the mid 70s to low 80s with scattered showers (remnants of Tropical Storm Bertha in western areas) and slight chance for a thunderstorm. Overnight lows will be in the mid to upper 60s with isolated showers and thunderstorms.

Friday temperatures will range from the low 70s to low 80s, depending on the arrival of a slow-moving cold front brings showers and scattered thunderstorms. There is the possibility for severs storms with strong winds and localized heavy rain. Overnight temperatures will be in the 50s.

Saturday will be cooler and breezy with temperatures in the mid 60s and 70s; expect a mostly dry day but some light showers are possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the 40s to low 50s.

Sunday highs will be in the upper 50s and into the 60s with sunny conditions. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 30s to mid 40s; patchy frost possible.

Monday temperatures will be in the 60s. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 30s to mid 40s.

Tuesday highs will be in the 60s and low 70s with scattered showers possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the 40s.

Wednesday highs will be in the low to mid 70s. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid to upper 40s.

The seven-day precipitation amounts will range from a quarter of an inch to over one and a half inches.

The 8-14 day outlook (June 4-10) favors above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation.

Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.weather.gov/erh/

US Drought Monitor:
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home.aspx

CLIMOD2 (NRCC data interface):
http://climodtest.nrcc.cornell.edu

 

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Weather Outlook – May 21, 2020

Contributed by NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University

Last week temperatures ranged from 6 degrees below normal to 2 degrees above normal. Precipitation has ranged from a quarter of an inch to two inches. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from less than 20 to 70.

GDD Base 48 March 1 - May 20 GDD Base 48 May 1 - May 20 GDD Base 50 March 1 - May 20 GDD Base 50 May 1 - May 20

Today will be sunny with temperatures in the upper 60s to upper 70s. Overnight lows will be in the 40s and mid 50s.

Friday temperatures will be in the 70s with scattered afternoon showers. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 40s to mid 50s with continued scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Saturday temperatures will be in the 70s with scattered showers and possible thunderstorms. It will be a humid day; northern areas will receive little rain and all areas will clear later in the day. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 40s to mid 50s.

Sunday highs will be in the 70s with mostly sunny conditions but an afternoon shower or thunderstorm is possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 40s to mid 50s.

Monday temperatures will be in the 70s to near 80 with a slight chance for afternoon showers and isolated thunderstorms. Overnight temperatures will be in the 50s.

Tuesday highs will be in the mid 70s to low 80s with a slight chance for afternoon showers. Overnight temperatures will be in 50s to low 60s.

Wednesday highs will be in the upper 70s to mid 80s with afternoon showers and thunderstorms possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 50s to low 60s.

The seven-day precipitation amounts will range from a trace to a quarter of an inch.

The 8-14 day outlook (May 28-June 3) favors above-normal temperatures and favors near-normal to slightly above-normal precipitation.

Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.weather.gov/erh/

US Drought Monitor
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home.aspx

CLIMOD2 (NRCC data interface):
http://climodtest.nrcc.cornell.edu

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Weather Outlook – May 14, 2020

Contributed by NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University

Last week temperatures ranged from 10 to 16 degrees below normal. Precipitation has ranged from a quarter of an inch to one inch. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 0-7.

GDD Base 48 Mar 1 - May 13 GDD Base 48 May 1 - May 13 GDD Base 50 - Mar 1 - May 13 GDD Base 50 May 1 - May 13

Today will start partly sunny with increasing clouds as a front brings rain showers; temperatures will be in the upper 50s to upper 60s. Overnight lows will be in the upper 40s and 50s with scattered rain, even a slight chance of a thunderstorm.

Friday temperatures will be in the upper 60s and 70s with rain and increased possibility for thunderstorms; some areas will have the potential for severe storms with gusty winds and small hail. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 40s to mid 50s.

Saturday will be sunny and dry with temperatures in the mid 60s to mid 70s. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 40s to mid 50s.

Sunday highs will be in the 60s with a chance for showers increasing throughout the day; some thunderstorms possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 40s to mid 50s.

Heavy rain and flooding are possible late Sunday into Tuesday if tropical moisture gets pulled into the Northeast.

Monday temperatures will be in the upper 50s and 60s with showers possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the 40s to low 50s.

Tuesday highs will be in the upper 50s and 60s with showers possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the 40s.

Wednesday highs will be in the 60s with showers possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the 40s.

The seven-day precipitation amounts will range from one and a quarter inches to near four inches.

The 8-14 day outlook (May 21-27) favors above-normal temperatures and slightly favors below-normal precipitation.

Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.weather.gov/erh/

US Drought Monitor:
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home.aspx

CLIMOD2 (NRCC data interface):
http://climodtest.nrcc.cornell.edu

 

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Weather Outlook – May 7, 2020

Contributed by NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University

Last week temperatures ranged from near normal to 4 degrees below normal. Precipitation has ranged from a hundredth of an inch to two inches. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 0-40.

GDD Base 48 Mar 1 - May 6 GDD Base 48 May 1 - May 6 GDD Base 50 Mar 1 - May 6 GDD Base 50 May 1 - May 6

Today will begin sunny & dry (though cold!) with temperatures reaching the 50s, into the mid 60s in eastern areas, before a front brings showers starting in the afternoon in western NY and moving east. Overnight lows will be in the upper 20s and 30s. Winds are expected to prevent frost formation, but could enough temperatures could bring freeze conditions.

Friday temperatures will be in the 40s to low 50s with a storm system bringing a mix of precipitation types with some heavy rain and snow possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 20s and low 30s.

Saturday temperatures will be in the upper 30s to low 40s with snow squalls and lake effect snow possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 20s and low 30s.

Sunday highs will be in the 40s and low 50s with showers ending in the morning. Overnight temperatures will be in the low 30s.

Monday temperatures will be in the 40s and low 50s with rain showers possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the 30s.

Tuesday highs will be in the 40s and low 50s with a slight chance of showers. Overnight temperatures will be in the 30s.

Wednesday highs will be in the 50s with showers possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the 30s.

The seven-day precipitation amounts will range from a tenth of an inch to three quarters of an inches.

The 8-14 day outlook (May 14-20) favors near- to below-normal temperatures and slightly favors above-normal precipitation.

Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.weather.gov/erh/

US Drought Monitor:
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home.aspx

CLIMOD2 (NRCC data interface):
http://climodtest.nrcc.cornell.edu

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Weather Outlook – April 30, 2020

Contributed by NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University

Last week temperatures ranged from 2 to 10 degrees below normal. Precipitation has ranged from a hundredth of an inch to two inches. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 0-10.

GDD Base 48 Mar 1 - April 29 GDD Base 50 Mar 1 - April 29

Today temperatures will be in the mid 50s to mid 60s with heavy rain in central NY; some thunderstorms are possible. Flood & Flash Flood Watches have been issued for parts of NY. Overnight lows will be in the upper 40s and lower 50s.

Friday temperatures will be in the 50s to mid 60s with lingering showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Overnight temperatures will be in the 40s.

Saturday temperatures will be in the mid 50s to upper 60s (around 70 in eastern areas) with gusty conditions and light morning showers likely for central NY, otherwise there will be clearing conditions Saturday through Sunday morning. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 30s to mid 40s.

Sunday highs will be in the 60s with afternoon/evening showers and isolated thunderstorms possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the 40s.

Monday will be cooler with temperatures in the 50s with another heavy rainfall possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the 30s with clearing conditions.

Tuesday highs will be in the 40s and 50s. Overnight temperatures will be in the 30s.

Wednesday highs will be in the 50s. Overnight temperatures will be in the 30s.

The seven-day precipitation amounts will range from a tenth of an inch to 3 inches.

The 8-14 day outlook (May7-13) favors below-normal temperatures with high probability. Near- to below-normal precipitation is favored.

Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.weather.gov/erh/

US Drought Monitor
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home.aspx

CLIMOD2 (NRCC data interface):
http://climodtest.nrcc.cornell.edu

 

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Weather Outlook – April 23, 2020

Contributed by NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University

Last week temperatures ranged from 6 to 12 degrees below normal. Precipitation has ranged from a hundredth of an inch to one inch. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 0-6.

GDD Base 48 - Mar 1 - April 22 GDD Base 50 Mar 1 - April 22

Today temperatures will be in the upper 30s to low 50s with showers likely for western and central NY early in the day and only light precipitation expected in eastern and northern areas. There should be a dry period later in the day before another round of precipitation tonight. Overnight lows will be in the 30s.

Friday temperatures will range from 30s to low 50s with light showers for southern parts of the state, depending on the track of the system. High elevation areas could see a wintry mix and/or freezing rain. Overnight temperatures will be in the 30s with clearing conditions.

Saturday temperatures will be in the 50s and low 60s (the warmest day of the week) with a mostly dry and partly sunny day. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 20s to mid 30s with periods of rain through Sunday.

Sunday highs will be in the 40s with rain continuing. Rain may change to snow in some areas, with accumulating snow possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the 30s.

Monday temperatures will be in the 40s with additional rain/snow showers possible in the morning but conditions should clear to bring dry weather later in the day. Overnight temperatures will be in the 30s.

Tuesday highs will be in the 50s with dry conditions for most of the day; afternoon showers are possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 20s to mid 30s.

Wednesday highs will be in the 50s and low 60s with unsettled conditions. Overnight temperatures will be in the 30s.

The seven-day precipitation amounts will range from half an inch to near three inches, with increasing amounts from north to south.

The 8-14 day outlook (April 30-May6) favors below-normal temperatures with high probability. Above-normal precipitation is slightly favored for most areas.

Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.weather.gov/erh/

US Drought Monitor
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home.aspx

CLIMOD2 (NRCC data interface):
http://climodtest.nrcc.cornell.edu

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Weather Outlook – April 16, 2020

NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University

Last week temperatures ranged from near normal to 4 degrees below normal. Precipitation has ranged from a quarter of an inch to near 3 inches. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 0-10.

GDD Base 48 Mar 1 - Apr 15, 2020 GDD Base 50 Mar 1 - Apr 15, 2020

Today temperatures will be in the mid 30s to mid 40 with light snow showers continuing behind a front. Overnight lows will be in the 20s.

Friday temperatures will be in the 30s to mid 40s; the next system will move in in the afternoon bringing rain and snow. Some areas could see accumulating snow, depending on temperatures and how far north the system moves. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 20s to mid 30s with additional snowfall expected.

Saturday temperatures will be in the mid 40s to near 50 with clearing conditions. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid to upper 30s.

Sunday highs will be in the 50s with showers possible late in the day into Monday. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid to upper 30s.

Monday temperatures will be in the mid 40s to upper 50s with dry weather. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 20s to mid 30s with precipitation ossible again overnight into Tuesday.

Tuesday highs will be in the mid 40s to mid 50s with showers possible as a cold front passes. Overnight temperatures will be in the 30s.

Wednesday highs will be in the 50s with mostly dry weather. Overnight temperatures will be in the 30s.

The seven-day precipitation amounts will range from a tenth of an inch to three quarters of an inch.

The 8-14 day outlook (April 23-29) slightly favors below-normal temperatures for most of the state. Above-normal precipitation is slightly favored for most areas.

Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.weather.gov/erh/

US Drought Monitor
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home.aspx

CLIMOD2 (NRCC data interface):
http://climodtest.nrcc.cornell.edu

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Weather Outlook – April 9, 2020

NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University

Last week temperatures ranged from near normal to 8 degrees above normal. Precipitation has ranged from one inch. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 0-10.

GDD Base 50 March 1 - April 8

Today will begin with widespread showers ahead of a cold front. Temperatures will be in the mid 40s to mid 50s with gusty conditions developing in the afternoon; gusts of 40-45 mph are possible. Overnight lows will be in the low to mid 30s. Wet snow, and accumulating snow for some higher elevation areas, is possible overnight into Friday.

Friday temperatures will be in the mid 30s to upper 40s with snow continuing for some areas and gusty conditions continuing throughout the area. Overnight temperatures will be in the 20s to lower 30s.

Saturday temperatures will range from the upper 30s to lower 50s with clearing conditions. Overnight temperatures will be in the 20s to lower 30s.

Sunday highs will be in the 50s with a mostly dry morning but light showers possible in the afternoon. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 30s to mid 40s with precipitation moving into the area again. Significant rainfall is possible Sunday night into Monday.

Monday temperatures will be in the 50s, could reach into the 60s in southeast NY, with rain continuing. Overnight temperatures will be in the 30s.

Tuesday highs will be in the mid 40s to mid 50s with mixed rain and wet snow possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the 30s to low 40s.

Wednesday highs will be in the mid 40s to mid 50s. Overnight temperatures will be in the 30s.

The seven-day precipitation amounts will range from three quarters of an inch to near 3 inches.

The 8-14 day outlook (April 16-22) favors below-normal temperatures for the entire state with high probability (70-80%). Above-normal precipitation is slightly favored.

Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.weather.gov/erh/

US Drought Monitor
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home.aspx

CLIMOD2 (NRCC data interface):
http://climodtest.nrcc.cornell.edu

 

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Weather Outlook – October 3, 2019

Northeast Regional Climate Center (NRCC)

A much cooler week is in store compared to last week, with a good chance of a 1-2 inch rainfall event for upstate NY from late Sunday through Tuesday.  After today’s rain, clear skies will reappear later Friday and particularly Saturday.   This will lead to a widespread frost for much of  northern and central NY Saturday morning.  This is right on schedule as the average day of the first fall frost is October 4 in Ithaca.  Saturday will be the coolest day of the week with highs only in the upper 50s to upper 60s across the state and lows from around 30 to the mid to upper 40s down near the city.  After that temperatures should mainly be in the 60s from Sunday-Wednesday with lows in the mid 40-mid 50s most days.  Normal highs for this time of year is low 60s upstate and upper 60s near the City with normal lows mainly in the low 40 to low 50s.  For the period starting next Thursday (10/10).  Temperatures should average slightly above normal and precipitation should be on the lighter side as the long range forecast models show a zonal (west to east) jet stream pattern, which typically does not bring extreme temperature variations or big storm systems.

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Weather Outlook –September 26, 2019

NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University

Last week temperatures ranged from near normal to 8 degrees above normal. Precipitation has ranged from a trace to 2 inches. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 30 to 110.

Today a cold front will bring showers with temperatures in the mid 60s to low 70s. Overnight lows will be in 40s to low 50s.

Friday temperatures will be in the mid 60s to mid 70s with mostly sunny skies. Overnight temperatures will range from the upper 40s to low 60s.

Saturday temperatures will range from the 70s to near 80 with showers and thunderstorms possible. A few storms could produce strong, gusty winds and heavy downpours. Overnight temperatures will be in the low to mid 50s.

Sunday highs will be in the mid 60s to mid70s with sunny skies. Overnight temperatures will be in the 40s.

Monday temperatures will be in the low to mid 70s with scattered showers possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the 50s.

Tuesday highs will be in the 70s (near 80 possible) with scattered showers possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the 50s and low 60s.

Wednesday highs will be in the 70s. Overnight temperatures will be in the 50s.

The seven-day precipitation amounts will range from a trace to near 2 inches.

The 8-14 day outlook (Oct 3-9) favors below-normal temperatures for a majority of the state, excluding far western and southeastern NY. Above-normal precipitation is slightly favored for western to central NY.

Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.weather.gov/erh/

US Drought Monitor:
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home.aspx

Drought Impact Reporter:
https://droughtreporter.unl.edu/map/

CLIMOD2 (NRCC data interface):
http://climodtest.nrcc.cornell.edu

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