Weather Outlook – May 9, 2019

NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University

Last week temperatures ranged from 4 degrees below normal to 6 degrees above normal. Precipitation has ranged from ¼” – 2”. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged less than 20 to 60.

GDD50 Mar 1 - May 8 GDD48 Mar 1 - May 8 GDD50 May 1-8 GDD48 May 1 - 8

After a short reprieve, a front will bring the return of rain on Friday. High pressure will give NY a dry day on Saturday, another low-pressure system brings showers on Sunday.

Today there will be increasing clouds with a chance of rain, but most areas will stay dry until the evening. Temperatures will range from the 50s to low 70s. Overnight lows will be in the 40’s to mid 50s, with showers spreading from west to east.

Friday will be in the 60s and mid 70s , a cold front will bring rain and isolated thunderstorms, with precipitation amounts ranging from a half inch to one inch. Overnight temperatures will be in the low 40s to low 50s, some areas could see frost.

Saturday temperatures will be in the mid 50s to mid 60s with dry conditions. Overnight temperatures will be in the 40s.

Sunday highs will be in the 50s with widespread showers likely. Overnight temperatures will be in the 40s.

Monday temperatures will be cooler, in the 40s and 50s with some showers possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the 40s.

Tuesday highs will be in the 50s to 60s with shows possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the 40s.

Wednesday highs will be in the upper 50s and lower 60s with rain possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the 50s.

The seven-day precipitation amounts will range from ¾” to 1.50”.

The 8-14 day outlook (May 16-22) favors below-normal temperatures for western to northern NY and above-normal precipitation for most of the state.

 

Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.weather.gov/erh/

US Drought Monitor
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home.aspx

Drought Impact Reporter:
https://droughtreporter.unl.edu/map/

CLIMOD2 (NRCC data interface):
http://climodtest.nrcc.cornell.edu

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