Weather Outlook – August 4, 2016

From Jessica Spaccio, NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University

Last week temperatures ranged from near normal to 4 degrees above normal for most of the state. Precipitation ranged from less than a quarter inch in western and northern NY to over 3 inches in eastern areaws. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 110 to 170.

GDD48_Mar1_Aug3 GDD48_May1_Aug3 GDD50_Mar1_Aug3 GDD50_May1_Aug3

Showers and thunderstorms Friday into Saturday, then cooler and dry…

Today will be sunny and humid with temperatures in the upper 70’s to near 90. Overnight lows will be in the upper 50’s to mid 60’s.

Friday will be warm again with highs in the 80’s to near 90. Lows will be in the 60’s with showers and thunderstorms beginning in the afternoon in western NY as a cold front approaches, heavy rainfall is possible in western NY.

Saturday scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible as the front moves east and out of the state with temperatures in the upper 70’s to mid 80’s. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 50’s to mid 60’s.

Sunday will be cooler and sunny with highs in the mid 70’s to low 80’s. Overnight temperatures will be in the 50’s.

Monday highs will be in the mid 70’s to lower 80’s. Lows will be in the 50’s.

Tuesday temperatures will be in the mid 70’s to mid 80’s.  Lows will be in the 50’s.

Wednesday there is a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, temperatures will be in the low to mid 80’s. Lows will be in the 60’s.

The five-day precipitation amounts will range from 1/10 ” to 3/4” .

The 8-14 day outlook (August 11-17) shows increased chances for above normal temperatures for all of the state. There is an increased chance for above normal precipitation for all but extreme southern and southeast NY.

The Drought Monitor: Only slight changes to this week’s map.

Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.weather.gov/erh/

US Drought Monitor:
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home.aspx

CLIMOD2 (NRCC data interface):
http://climodtest.nrcc.cornell.edu

 

 

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