Weather Outlook – June 23, 2016

From Jessica Spaccio, NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University

Last week temperatures ranged from normal to 4 degrees above normal for most of the state. Precipitation ranged from less than ¼” to 1”, with isolated areas getting over 1”. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 70 to 150.

GDD48_Mar1_Jun22 GDD48_May_Jun22 GDD50_Mar1_Jun22 GDD50_May1_Jun22

Sunny skies, warm temperatures, little rain…

Friday fog is possible in the morning then clearing to sunny skies with highs in the mid 70’s to mid 80’s. Lows will be in the 50’s to low 60’s.

Saturday temperatures will be in the upper 70’s to upper 80’s. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 50’s and 60’s.

Sunday’s highs will be in the 80’s to low 90’s. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 50’s and 60’s.

Monday temperatures will be in the 80’s to low 90’s with some scattered showers possible. Lows will be in the upper 50’s and 60’s.

Tuesday a cold front will bring cooler temperatures in the 70’s and lower 80’s and the possibility of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows will be in the 50’s.

Wednesday temperatures will be in 70’s and lower 80’s. Lows will be in the 50’s.

The five-day precipitation amounts will range from 1/10” to ½”.

The 8-14 day outlook (June 30 – July 6) shows an increased chance for above normal temperatures. The precipitation outlook shows increased chances for above normal precipitation for the eastern half of the state.

The Drought Monitor: Abnormally dry conditions have persisted and expanded due to declining streamflows (locally below the 10th percentile) and a lack of rain over the past 90 days (less than half of normal).  In fact, many of the Northeast’s D1 areas are now running rainfall deficits in excess of 6 inches over the past 6 months.

Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.weather.gov/erh/

US Drought Monitor:
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home.aspx

CLIMOD2 (NRCC data interface):
http://climodtest.nrcc.cornell.edu

 

 

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