Weather Outlook – June 16, 2016

From Jessica Spaccio, NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University

Last week temperatures ranged from 4 to 10 degrees below normal for most areas. Precipitation was less than 1” for most of the state. Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 10 to 70.

GDD48_Mar1_Jun15 GDD48_May1_Jun15 GDD50_Mar1_Jun15 GDD50_May1_Jun15

Sunny skies, warm temperatures, little rain…

Today there is a chance of light showers and isolated thunderstorms in central and western NY, other areas will remain dry, with temperatures in the mid 70’s to low 80’s. Overnight lows will be in the upper 40’s and 50’s.

Friday will be mostly dry, but isolated showers are possible, with highs in the mid 70’s to low 80’s. Lows will be in the upper 40’s and 50’s.

Saturday temperatures will be in the upper 70’s to mid 80’s with sunny and dry conditions. Overnight temperatures will be in the 50’s.

Sunday’s highs will be in the upper 70’s to upper 80’s. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 50’s and 60’s.

Monday temperatures will be warmer, in the upper 70’s to low 90’s. Lows will be in the upper 50’s and 60’s.

Tuesday a cold front will bring slightly cooler temperatures in the mid 70’s to low 80’s with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible. Lows will be in the upper 50’s and 60’s.

Wednesday temperatures will be in the 70’s. Lows will be in the mid 50’s to low 60’s.

The five-day precipitation amounts will rang from none to over a ½” in a small corner of western NY, with most of the state getting less than ¼” of rain.

The 8-14 day outlook (June 23-29) shows an increased chance for below normal temperatures for eastern NY and near normal temperatures are expected for the rest of the state. The precipitation outlook shows increased chances (33-40%) for above normal precipitation for the entire state.

The Drought Monitor: Abnormally dry conditions as little precipitation has fallen to improve conditions. Moderate Drought conditions are now in Orange, Rockland and Westchester counties.

Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.weather.gov/erh/

US Drought Monitor:
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home.aspx

CLIMOD2 (NRCC data interface):
http://climodtest.nrcc.cornell.edu

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