Cornell Field Crops News

Timely Field Crops information for the New York Agricultural Community

Weather Outlook – May 19, 2016

From Jessica Spaccio, NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University

Last week temperatures ranged from 2 to 4 degrees below normal for most of the state. Precipitation ranged from ¼ inch to 1 inch for most of the state.  Base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 5 to 45.

GDD48_Mar1_May18 GDD48_May1_18 GDD50_Mar1_May18 GDD50_May1_18

Mild conditions & warming temperatures…

Today a few afternoon showers and thunderstorms will be possible (small hail possible), temperatures will in the mid 50’s to upper 60’s. Overnight lows will be in the mid 30’s to mid 40’s, frost possible.

Friday will be mostly sunny with highs returning to normal – in the mid 60’s to mid 70’s. There is a slight chance of showers in southern areas. Lows will be in the mid 40’s to low 50’s with light showers possible in southeast NY.

Saturday temperatures will be in the mid 60’s to mid 70’s. The weather will be a mix of partly sunny and dry to partly cloudy and light showers. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 30’s to 40’s.

Sunday will be partly to mostly sunny with highs in the upper 60’s to mid 70’s. Isolated afternoon showers are possible. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 40’s to low 50’s.

Monday temperatures will be in the 70’s with a slight chance of showers in southeast NY. Lows will be in the 40’s.

Tuesday will be in the 70’s with a slight chance of showers. Lows will be in the 40’s to low 50’s.

Wednesday will be in the 70’s and some low 80’s possible. Lows will be in the 50’s.

The five-day precipitation amounts will range from 0 in western NY to ½ inch in the Catskill/southern Hudson Valley region.

The 8-14 day outlook (May 26 – June1) shows increased chances for above normal temperatures for all of the state. Near normal precipitation is expected for the western half of the state, and there is an increased chance of below normal precipitation for the eastern half of the state.

June and May/June/July outlooks shows increased chances of above normal temperatures for the entire state. There is equal chances of above or below normal precipitation.

The Drought Monitor: Abnormally dry conditions have slightly expanded in upstate NY where short-term (30-day) precipitation deficits exist and stream flows are below normal.

Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/hq/

US Drought Monitor:
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home.aspx

CLIMOD2 (NRCC data interface):
http://climodtest.nrcc.cornell.edu

 

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