New York State Weekly Weather Outlook – October 16, 2014

From Jessica Spaccio, NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University

GDD_Oct15Last week temperatures ranged within 2 degrees of normal. Precipitation ranged from 1/10 of an inch to one inch.  Base 50 growing degree-days were less than 30 for most of the state.

Cloudy, cloudy, cloudy.

Today will be cloudy with showers off-and-on in eastern and central NY while rain is continuing for eastern and northern NY (1-2” possible in these areas with isolated thunderstorms) and highs in the mid 60’s to low 70’s.  Lows will be in the upper 40’s to mid 50’s.

Friday will be another cloudy day, only slight chance of showers for most areas with highs in the 60’s and lows in the 40’s.

Saturday highs will be in the mid 50’s to mid 60’s with scattered showers as a cold front moves across the state. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid 30’s to low 40’s.

Sunday there will be a possibility of showers with temperatures much cooler in the mid 40’s to low 50’s.  Overnight temperatures will be in the 30’s with frost and freezes possible.

Monday will be mostly cloudy with highs in the 50’s.  Overnight temperatures will be throughout the 30’s.

Tuesday will be mostly cloudy with highs in the low to mid 50’s.  Lows will be in the 30’s.

Wednesday’s highs will be in the upper 40’s to mid 50’s.  Lows will be in the 30’s.

The five-day precipitation amounts will range from 1/10 ” to around 1”.

The 8-14 day outlook (Oct 23-29) is showing above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation most of the state.

The abnormally dry area covering the Catskills and southern Hudson Valley has persisted and expanded north and west with a smaller area of moderate drought around Ulster and Orange counties.

Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/hq/

NRCC Drought Page which features the US Drought Monitor map (updated every Thursday):
http://www.nrcc.cornell.edu/page_drought.html

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