Jessica Rennells, NOAA Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University
Last week temperatures ranged from 3 to 6 degrees below normal for most of the state. Precipitation ranged widely from 1 inch up to 4 inches. The base 50 growing degree-days ranged from 25 to 50.
Hot weather & storms before returning to seasonal temperatures.
Possible severe storms on Sunday.
Today will be mostly sunny and hot! Temperatures will be in the mid 80’s to near 90 with a slight chance for afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Overnight temperatures will range throughout the 60’s.
Friday will be mostly sunny and hot again; temperatures will rise into the upper 80’s and low 90’s with a chance for thunderstorms. Overnight temperatures will range throughout the 60’s.
Saturday will be partly sunny with highs in the mid 80’s to near 90. Light rain and thunderstorms are possible in the afternoon. Lows will be in the low to mid 60’s.
Sunday will be mostly cloudy with highs cooler but still above normal, in the mid 70’s to low 80’s. Showers and thunderstorms are likely as a front passes, some possibly severe. Overnight lows will be in the mid 50’s to low 60’s.
Monday will be cloudy and notably cooler, but seasonable, because of the frontal passage. Highs will be in the upper 60’s to mid 70’s with light rain possible. Monday night will be in the upper 40’s to mid 50’s.
Tuesday will be mostly sunny with highs in the upper 60’s to low 70’s. Lows will be In the upper 40’s to mid 50’s.
Wednesday will be in the upper 60’s to low 70’s. Lows will be in the mid 40’s to near 50.
The five-day precipitation amounts will range from ½” to 1 ½” .
The 8-14 day out look (June 6 – June 12) is showing above normal temperatures and above normal precipitation. Abnormally dry area reduced, still includes areas of Catskills, low Hudson Valley Region, Hamilton and Herkimer counties.
Maps of 8-14 day outlooks:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php
National Weather Service watch/warnings map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/hq/
NRCC Drought Page which features the US Drought Monitor map (updated every Thursday):
http://www.nrcc.cornell.edu/page_drought.html
